Trading Profit Projection Calculator
See the weekly, normalized monthly and yearly arithmetic implied by your own win rate, average winning pips, average losing pips, trade frequency, fixed lot, pip value and cash cost per trade. The outputs are conditional scenarios, not expected earnings or achievable-return claims.
Enter one fixed-lot scenario
Use assumptions from one consistent strategy and instrument context. Negative expectancy and cost-heavy scenarios remain negative.
Comparison base for displayed percentages; it does not change the fixed lot.
A scenario input, not an estimate created by the calculator.
Enter the positive magnitude of an average winning trade.
Enter the positive magnitude of an average losing trade.
Used to normalize the entered per-trade result across time.
Held constant across week, month and year.
Enter the account-currency value of one pip at 1.00 lot.
One entered account-currency amount for spread, commission, slippage or other included costs.
The fixed lot is rounded down to this entered step.
Manual symbol constraint used only for a visible check.
A fixed lot above this value is flagged, not capped.
Calendar profit overview
Entered Balance & Profit Planning 1.0.0.
On smaller screens, scroll horizontally to inspect the complete calculation table.
| Period | Modeled trades | Gross result | Entered costs | Net result | Net as starting balance |
|---|
How weekly, monthly and yearly profit is modeled
The calculator first computes a two-outcome gross expectancy in pips. It multiplies the entered win probability by average winning pips, then subtracts the entered loss probability multiplied by average losing pips. Breakeven trades are not a third category in this simplified scenario.
Gross money per trade equals gross expectancy pips multiplied by the entered pip value per 1.00 lot and the broker-step-rounded fixed lot. The entered cash cost per trade is then subtracted once to produce the net per-trade amount.
Weekly net equals net per trade multiplied by entered trades per week. Yearly net uses 52 weeks. Monthly net is weekly net multiplied by 52 and divided by 12, which creates a consistent 4.333333-week comparison month.
The starting balance is used only to express each net total as a percentage. This fixed-lot mode does not increase position size as balance changes and does not compound the calendar outputs.
The calculation repeats one expected-value amount. It does not create a path of actual wins and losses, so it cannot show drawdown, losing streaks, margin usage, volatility of outcomes or confidence in the result.
Worked example from the audited fixture
The audited example uses 10,000 starting balance, 55% wins, 30 average winning pips, 20 average losing pips, five trades per week, 0.10 lot, pip value 10 per pip at 1.00 lot, and 1.00 cash cost per trade.
- Gross expectancy is 7.5 pips per trade. At 0.10 lot that is 7.50 gross; after the entered 1.00 cost, the modeled net is 6.50 per trade.
- The conditional totals are 32.50 per week, 140.83 per normalized month and 1,690.00 per 52-week year. The yearly number equals 16.90% of the starting balance, but it is not a forecast or target.
Reproduce it: select “Load audited example” above. The governed fixture was independently recomputed with decimal arithmetic, and the interface rounds only displayed values.
How to interpret the result
- Read net per trade first. It shows whether the entered win/loss mix remains above or below zero after the declared cash cost.
- Compare gross and net columns to see how repeated costs affect the calendar arithmetic.
- Weekly, monthly and yearly values scale one unchanged average; they do not add confidence or make the assumption more likely.
- A positive total is conditional on the inputs being representative and executable. The calculator cannot verify either condition.
- A negative total is preserved as a modeled loss. More trades magnify the entered negative per-trade result rather than repairing it.
- Use a journal and observed expectancy tools for historical evidence before treating any input as representative of a strategy.
Assumptions and limits
- The two-outcome formula assigns every trade to a win or loss. It has no separate breakeven probability.
- Win rate and average pips are entered assumptions. Sampling error, nonstationarity, selection bias and changing market regimes are not estimated.
- One fixed lot and pip value are reused for all periods. Price, symbol, conversion rates and contract specifications can change.
- The cash-cost field cannot verify spread, commission, slippage, financing or taxes and does not change with lot or time.
- No outcome order, variance, drawdown, margin, stop-out, gap, liquidity, withdrawal or deposit path is modeled.
- No weekly, monthly or yearly earnings, income, target, lot, strategy, signal or trade is promised or recommended.
Which growth calculator answers which question?
The lot-size compounding route now keeps the balance ladder and its optional monthly lot-step sensitivity schedule together. The fixed-lot Trading Profit Projection remains a separate calendar-arithmetic job, while the Forex Compound Projector remains the canonical percentage-return and recurring-cash-flow route. This separation prevents one smooth scenario from being mistaken for risk-based sizing or an earnings forecast.
| Tool | Primary input | Primary output | Lot changes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lot Size Compounding | Balance thresholds and additive lot steps | Ladder plus optional monthly lot-step scenario | Optional monthly recalculation |
| Trading Profit Projection | One fixed-lot win/loss scenario | Week, normalized month and 52-week year | No |
| Forex Compound Projector | Entered constant percentage return and cash flows | Periodic percentage-compound schedule | Not lot-based |
Frequently asked questions
- It repeats one entered fixed-lot two-outcome average across a week, a normalized month and a 52-week year, with one entered cash cost deducted per trade.
- It equals entered win probability multiplied by average winning pips minus entered loss probability multiplied by average losing pips.
- Gross expectancy pips are multiplied by entered pip value per 1.00 lot and broker-step-rounded fixed lot, then the entered cash cost per trade is subtracted.
- The normalized month uses 52 weeks divided by 12, or about 4.333333 weeks, so the monthly and yearly totals reconcile exactly.
- No. It is conditional arithmetic from repeated inputs and does not estimate the chance of achieving them, future market conditions, drawdown or income.
- The net per-trade and calendar totals remain negative. More modeled trades magnify the entered negative average rather than turning it positive.
- Only if the user has entered a complete same-currency amount. The page cannot verify spread, commission, slippage, financing, taxes or changing costs.
- No. The existing Forex Profit & Loss Calculator values one entered trade from price and size, while this route normalizes one average scenario across time.
Sources and methodology
- CFTC — hypothetical trading-system results — Official warning that hypothetical and actual trading results can differ materially.
- MetaQuotes — OrderCalcProfit — Official account-currency profit interface demonstrating the importance of symbol, volume and prices.
- MetaQuotes — permitted trading volumes — Official minimum, maximum and step definitions used for the entered lot check.
Version 1.0.0 performs deterministic local arithmetic and uploads no entered values. The audited examples were recomputed from first principles with decimal arithmetic. Competitor pages informed search vocabulary only; official sources govern the technical and risk boundaries.
Move between outcome evidence and growth planning
Use broker-specific pip values and costs
Confirm the symbol’s pip or tick value, contract size, minimum and maximum lot, volume step, spread, commission, financing and execution terms. The calculator cannot verify that a manually entered average or cost matches live conditions.
Risk and affiliate disclosure: Leveraged forex and CFD trading can result in substantial losses. Increasing lot size increases monetary exposure, and hypothetical profit scenarios can differ materially from actual results. These are affiliate links, so ForexMT4Indicators.com may receive compensation if you register or trade through them, at no additional cost to you. Availability and terms vary by jurisdiction and broker entity.